Bitcoin is about to correct itself. ๐ Itโs wise to stay cautious during a correction and allow the 3-day (or even 1-week) cycle to reset over the next two weeks. โณ
But what if the price rallies from here? ๐ Is that even possible? ๐ค
Today, weโll dive into this question and explore how to prepare to profit in any scenario. ๐ก
The market still looks overheated. ๐ฅ Bitcoin is overbought on most cycle indicators, signaling a correction. ๐ In previous bull markets, weโve often seen corrections of ~20-30%. ๐
Analyzing previous bull markets reveals that corrections typically coincide with the 3-day cycle top (๐ violet line > 80) or the 1-week cycle top (๐ด red line > 80).
Cycles are excellent tools for spotting tops and bottoms ๐ and predicting market movements in the days or weeks ahead. ๐ฎ
They work psychologically: after a ~25% correction, investors hesitate to buy, thinking, "What if it drops another 25%?" ๐
This is how the market leaves most participants behind, with traders jumping in only when prices rise again. ๐
Thatโs exactly what Cycle indicators are signaling today. ๐
The cycle indicators are reversing downward ๐, signaling that more market pressure is likely. The green lines suggest a probable (and bullish) Bitcoin scenario:
Bitcoin could decline by 16%, reaching ~$80,000, frightening many participants. ๐ฑ Traders will claim, "The top is in!" ๐ฃ๏ธ But as the market hits 20 on the 3-day Cycle indicator, itโs likely to reverse upward quickly, leaving unprepared investors out of the market. ๐ชโก๏ธ
It has happened before, and it will happen again. ๐ The question is: Are you prepared? ๐ง
My Approach to Bitcoin Price Movement:
โ
Sold my trading portfolio around $97,000 (as disclosed in the last newsletter)
โ
Ready to re-enter once the 3-Day indicator reverses upward (in 1-2 weeks)
But Master, what if the market suddenly surges?
It wonโt surge today. At minimum, the daily indicator must drop, touch 20, and reverse โ a process requiring a few days. ๐
If we see a daily reversal and prices shoot upward, Iโll re-enter the market, aiming to exit when the daily indicator climbs above 80 and reverses again. ๐ฏ
Broader Implications for Bitcoinโs 4-Year Cycle
If Bitcoin rallies without a 20% correction in the next few weeks:
โ ๏ธ We may see a left-translated 4-Year Cycle
โ ๏ธ This could mean a market top within 2-3 months, followed by a 2-year bear market ๐ป
Not ideal? No. ๐ But itโs a plausible scenario.
For now:
โ๏ธ Prepare for a correction
โ๏ธ Accumulate coins when 3-day and 1-week indicators drop below 20
Disappointing? Yes. ๐
But itโs the high-probability scenario. ๐ง
Want My Cycle Indicator?
๐ Access my unified Cycle indicator on TradingView!
It highlights tops and bottoms with green zones. ๐ Invite two friends to the newsletter and send me your TradingView username to get access. ๐ซ
Master, how do I navigate a market slowly transitioning from bullish to bearish?
When Bitcoin shifts from bullish to bearish, I look to altcoins. ๐
One standout is $TAO. ๐
Not all cryptocurrencies follow the same cycles. ๐ While Bitcoin drives the market ๐ and a significant crash would impact most altcoins, weโre in a bull market ๐ thatโs unlikely to experience a 40-50% crash immediately.
If $TAO holds above $400 while the 3-day Cycle (๐ violet line) resets, it could see another strong rally. ๐
The $TAO/$BTC pair looks even better! โจ The 3-day Cycle is already reversing upward, and a great setup could emerge once the 1-day indicator dips below 20. ๐
Telegram Alerts Are Almost Ready!
๐ข Real-time reversal alerts are coming soon! Itโs taken longer than expected, but the Telegram group is nearly ready.
Stay safe, and see you in the next edition! ๐
I will be attending Bitcoin MENA conference in Abu Dhabi between December 9th and 10th. Eric Trump will be there! ๐ฅ
Join me!
10% off for tickets with โSTRATEGYMASTERโ code.