π History repeats itselfβwe successfully sold at the (local) Bitcoin cycle peak once again!
π° By buying at the 60-day cycle bottom in early November at $69,500 and selling at ~$96,600, we secured an impressive 40% return in under a month.
π οΈ How? By combining our two trusted indicators:
- The 60-day cycle count
- The 1-week cycle
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π Great opportunities are still ahead in the coming days, and weβll discuss them soon. (For instance, check how oversold $TON is on the TON/BTC chart.)
But first, letβs go back to the basics:
π Where are we in the Bitcoin cycle?
Letβs analyze two key areas:
1οΈβ£ The 60-day Cycle Count π: Understand how much of the cycle remains and why weβve entered a bearish zone.
2οΈβ£ Cycle Indicators π: Insights from the 1-week, 2-week, 3-day, and 1-day cycles for short- and mid-term trends.
π 60-Day Cycle
Weβre on Day 20 of the cycle. Around this time, a short retracement to the mid-cycle low is expected.
β‘ In bullish cycles, the mid-cycle low is always higher than:
- The previous cycle low, and
- Even the next cycle low.
β This means weβre still climbing in this cycle! Yes, you heard it rightβwe may see continued upside in the next 1β2 weeks. π
π Cycle Indicators
The 2-week, 1-week, 3-day, and 1-day indicators have all hit 80, triggering a price drop. β¬οΈ
This often signals the top of the 1-week cycle.
β¨ Take a look at the chart belowβarenβt cycles simply amazing? π
π Altcoins
TON/BTC
π TON has lagged behind Bitcoin since July 2024 (including a failed 1-week cycle in September).
π One potential factor? Durov's arrest in France, which sparked fears about:
- π Government regulation on Telegram
- πͺ A potential user exodus
π However, Telegramβs user base has grown since then, with several million-dollar Telegram apps launching.
π The downtrend appears ready for reversal, but patience is key:
- Wait for the 3-day Cycle to drop below 20
- Or watch for a mid-range reversal before entering TON.
π° XMR/USDT
Yes, you heard rightβgood old Monero! πΆοΈ
I always make an exception for Monero, preferring the XMR/USDT chart over XMR/BTC.
π’ While slow and methodical, Monero is incredibly predictable.
- It doesnβt outperform Bitcoin (many coins do better), but...
- Trading Monero based on cycles is nearly foolproof.
π The last five 3-day cycles each delivered roughly 10% returns or better.
β Thereβs something satisfying about entering a trade knowing youβll likely exit with ~10% profit within weeks.
β FAQ: "Strategy Master, how can I access these cycle indicators?"
β¨ Currently:
Iβm offering free access to my βColorsβ indicator, which consolidates all chart lines into one unified tool. π¨
π Premium Subscribers will get access to the multi-timeframe Cycle indicators.
- Not for sale yet! π
- Premium subscriptions will only be offered to loyal newsletter readers. π°
- β To qualify: Open our next three newsletters!
π€ Want the combined cycle indicator now?
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Remember, markets are hot right now - don't rush into trades. Always check the Cycles and buy at cycle bottoms. π΄
"But Master... how can I check Cycles without access to them?"
For now, use Stochastic RSI across different timeframes. Add multiple Stochastic RSI indicators on TradingView and adjust the timeframes for each. This will help you gauge whether we're closer to cycle tops or bottoms. π