📉 No, We’re Not at the Top of the Bull Market Yet!
I hope the title didn’t confuse you—I wanted to be upfront. This, however, is one of the most crucial newsletters I’ve written because today, we’re diving into:
1️⃣ The best purchases of the current bull market 📈
2️⃣ The approach to the upcoming bull market top 🏔️
When Will We Reach the Top?
🕰️ Patience, warrior. I can’t give you the answer that quickly—read on! 😉
📊 What’s That, Master? I Thought You Only Focused on Cycles?
Indeed, cycles are essential for investing. They uncover undervalued and overvalued zones, perfect for timing buys and sells. But there’s another tool that helps predict Bitcoin’s topping range with precision: RSI (Relative Strength Index).
🔴 Red points on the chart? Cycle bottoms: 2015, 2019, 2022.
🟢 Bright green areas? Bitcoin tops: 2014, 2017/2018, 2021.
While RSI doesn’t predict price movements directly, it reliably identifies the ranges where Bitcoin bottoms and tops—closely tied to cycles.
One thing is clear: we haven’t topped yet.
🚀 The top usually occurs when RSI hits ~90, and right now, we’re barely touching 70.
Looking Ahead
📉 Based on the chart, we’re likely in the final phase of the bull market—just a few months or half a year away from a 1.5-year-long bear market.
💡 Got It, Master. RSI Has Room to Stretch—What About the Cycles?
Let’s take a closer look at the Cycles chart together. 🕵️♂️
📈 I Wish Bitcoin Would Slow Down Right Now. I Really Do. Why?
If Bitcoin accelerates too quickly, we’ll see the final blow-off top:
- RSI will skyrocket to 80–90 📊
- The market will inevitably crash to cool off (remember 2021’s drop from the 60Ks to below 30Ks? 😬).
What’s the Healthiest Scenario for Bitcoin?
The healthiest path would be:
🌀 Consolidation—a choppy month allowing the 2-week cycle to reset before pushing upward.
👉 This path is more predictable and provides better trading opportunities.
🚀 Take a look at the last time the 2-week cycle dipped below 20—it pinpointed some of the best buy opportunities in the market.
What’s the Alternative?
⚡ An accelerated push to new all-time highs in February, reaching $150K–$160K for a final top in March/April—but at a cost:
- Followed by a 1.5-year decline to around $60K 📉
- Altcoins will suffer: when Bitcoin declines, altcoins often bleed by 90–95%.
👀 Let’s see how Bitcoin behaves over the coming weeks! 🐂
📉 You Don’t Want to Get Stuck in a Prolonged Bear Market
It’s better to have shorter bullish and bearish cycles that keep the market moving.
So, What’s Your Prediction, Master?
I won’t lie—this reminds me of September 2021, when:
- The 1-week cycle dropped to ~30 📊
- Reversed and made the final top 🚀
That Said, I Prefer a Bearish Scenario:
🔻 Bitcoin falls below $100K (potentially to $90K).
🔄 The 2-week cycle resets.
📅 We hit the 60-day low at the end of February.
🚀 Then, Bitcoin surges to new highs in March.
Planning for These Scenarios Is Tough
That’s why I developed a shorter timeframe strategy.
⏳ With this approach, you don’t need to wait for the 2-week or 1-week cycles to align perfectly.
Master the shorter cycles, and you’ll always stay ahead of the market! 💡
💡 If You’d Applied This Strategy to $LINK…
…you’d have made at least three profitable trades last month—without waiting for the longer cycles to play out.
Pretty Neat, Huh?
🔗 Check it out here:
Stay Safe, Warrior
Let’s make serious gains this year! 🚀
