Alright, alright - I exaggerated the “collapse” part. Bitcoin isn’t collapsing - at least not yet. 😏 The daily cycle is about to reverse to the upside, likely giving Bitcoin one more push higher. 🚀
Strategy Master, I thought the bull market just started. What about Altcoin season?
Here’s the thing: to make money in crypto (with relatively low risk), you MUST understand where we are in the cycle. Markets go up and down, and your job is to buy at the cycle bottom. 📉➡️ (Yes, I’ll show you how to do that for free.)
But first, let’s get the introductions out of the way.
Gooood evening, lovely people! ✋
This is Strategy Master—the annoying wolf 🐺 who refuses to let you trade on leverage and always warns you when the market is overbought. Yep, the same guy who popped into your inbox one day to prove that real estate is a worse investment than crypto (sorry, Grant Cardone). 😅
Here’s a simple - but risky - trade idea that’s likely to turn out profitable:
👉 Buy BTC when you see the first green candle on the 12-hour chart.
Gotcha, Master… But why?
To explain, let’s revisit my magical cycle indicators: ✨📊
But how can you be sure we’re going up? 🤔📈
We can’t be sure. It’s all about probabilities. 🎲 In highly bullish markets (think god candle after god candle), when the cycle indicator trends down, the price often stays flat. 📉➖
That’s exactly what’s happened in the last three days: the blue line dropped from 90 to 18.31, but Bitcoin’s price? Flat. 💡
Now, let’s compare this with the last five 1-day cycles: 📊📅
Take the leftmost green arrow: the 1-day cycle reversed, and price immediately pushed higher. ⬆️ The difference between the daily cycle top and bottom? About -1%—similar to what we’re seeing now.
Master, how can I tell when the 1-day cycle drops below 20? Give me access to your indicators!
Sure thing. Just share this newsletter with two friends and message me your TradingView username. 📩👥
What’s Wrong with ETH?
Ethereum had a great run two weeks ago, gaining about 17% against Bitcoin, only to lose it all last week. 📉 When it finally felt like Altcoin season was here, the market disappointed us—again. 😓
So, why aren’t Altcoins pumping yet?
Altcoins will pump when most investors lose faith in them. 🤷 For the last six months, all I’ve heard is people hyping an “Altcoin season.” And what happened? The market did the opposite - making your Altcoins bleed. 🩸
When people finally give up and start chanting things like “Bitcoin supercycle” and “Altcoins will never outperform Bitcoin because it’s the ultimate store of value,” that’s when Altcoins will start pumping. 💡🚀
Let’s break down why this hasn’t happened yet. 🧐📉
ETH/BTC Chart Analysis 📊🔍
ETH/BTC does not look good
I’m not saying you can’t make money with Ethereum—you absolutely can if you buy at weekly cycle lows and sell at cycle tops. 📈💰 But, like the last cycle, Ethereum is hitting new lows in this one. 😬 It’s likely to pump - but not until late in this cycle (probably 2025).
On the bright side, the 2-week cycle indicator has been under 20 for a month. 🔥 That signals an upside push isn’t far off (likely in 1–2 months). For now, though, I’d skip ETH. Bitcoin and Solana-based Altcoins have better potential. 🚀
Alright, Master, I’ve read the whole email. Give me some alpha now! 👀
I know you’re eyeing coins like $DOGE and $SEI. 🐶 Sure, they might pump again, but their upside potential is smaller compared to coins that haven’t run yet. Take $SHIB, for example - it just reversed on its 1-day "cycle" indicator! ⚡📊
